6 143 NETWORK-BASED MODEL OF RISK OF SEXUAL REOFFENDING motivator effect (i.e., enhancing or facilitating the later development of other protective factors). Future and more elaborate network models could take protective factors into account and place them within the network of dynamic risk factors or the external field. 6.4 CONCLUSION We presented a network-based model of risk of sexual reoffending (NBM-RSR) that proposes the development and nature of risk of sexual reoffending to involve a complex self-sustaining network of causally connected dynamic risk factors. In contrast to the Propensities Model, the NBM-RSR provides a theoretical account of the development of dynamic risk factors, how they give rise to the risk of sexual reoffending, and how sustained change in this risk might take place. To further advance our understanding of the development and nature of the risk of sexual reoffending future research should test propositions derived from the NBM-RSR. Assuming future studies demonstrate the relative influence of specific dynamic risk factors on the network of dynamic risk factors, the NBM-RSR also has clinical implications. Based on these studies, clinicians are able to target dynamic risk factor(s) which, when changed, have relatively stronger effect on other dynamic risk factors and thereby are more likely to reduce the overall probability of sexual reoffending.
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