TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS SUMMARY SAMENVATTING TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER ONE Dynamic Risk Factors in Adult Men with a History of Sexual Offenses: What Do We Know and Where Are We Heading? 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Two perspectives on risk-relevant psychological and behavioral characteristics 1.2.1 Statistical perspective 1.2.2 Propensities Model perspective 1.3 Gaps in the current perspectives on dynamic risk factors 1.3.1 Research gaps regarding dynamic risk factors’ causal role 1.3.2 Theoretical gaps regarding dynamic risk factors causal role 1.3.3 Addressing the research and theoretical gaps 1.4 Towards understanding the development and nature of risk of sexual reoffending 1.5 An outline of the chapters in this dissertation CHAPTER TWO The predictive properties of dynamic risk assessment instruments developed for adult men with a history of sexual offenses: A meta-analysis 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Current study 2.3 Method 2.3.1 Search strategy 2.3.2 Eligibility 2.3.3 Final selection of studies 2.3.4 Inter-rater reliability 2.3.5 Statistical analyses 2.4 Results 2.4.1 Overall predictive properties 2.4.2 Incremental validity 2.4.3 Predictive validity of change scores XV V VII XI XV 21 23 25 25 29 30 30 31 32 33 35 39 41 42 42 42 43 43 46 47 49 49 51 53
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