Proefschrift

3 73 NETWORK ANALYSIS DYNAMIC RISK FACTORS A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.8 −0.4 1.0 E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 B1 B2 D3 Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.8 −0.4 1.0 2.4 E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A B A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.8 −0.4 1.0 2.4 E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 Fig. 3.1. (a) Estimated network structure of 13 adult male dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 (n = 788; Fernandez et al., 2012). The network structure is a mixed graphical model (mgm) in which a connection between nodes represents the strength of the statistical association that remains after statistically controlling for the other nodes. (b) Strength centrality of the estimated network structure of 13 adult male dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 (n = 788). Strength centrality is shown as standardized z scores. The nodes are defined as follows: Significant social influences: A1 = significant social influences; intimacy deficits: B1 = capacity for relationship stability, B2 = emotional identification with children, B3 = hostility toward women, B4 = general social rejection/loneliness, B5 = lack of concern for others; general self-regulation: C1 = impulsive acts, C2 = poor cognitive problem solving, C3 = negative emotionality/hostility; sexual self-regulation: D1 = sexual preoccupation, D2 = sex as coping, D3 = deviant sexual interests; and cooperation with supervision: E1 = cooperation with supervision. Figure and legend adapted with permission from “The Application of Network Analysis to Dynamic Risk Factors in Adult Male Sex Offenders,” by J. W. van den Berg et al., 2020, Clinical Psychological Science, 8(3), p. 545. Copyright © 2020 by the Author(s).

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