3 74 CHAPTER 3 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and sexual recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.1 0.2 1.5 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and sexual recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.1 0.2 1.5 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.1 0.2 1.5 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and sexual recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.1 0.2 1.5 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.1 0.2 1.5 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A C B D A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and sexual recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.4 −0.1 1.2 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007 −1.1 0.2 1.5 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 Fig. 3.2. Estimated network structure of 13 adult male dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 (n = 611; Fernandez et al., 2012) including (a) sexual recidivism and (c) violent (including sexual contact) recidivism. The network structure is a mixed graphical model (mgm) in which the connection between nodes represents the strength of the statistical association that remains after statistically controlling for the other nodes. Strength centrality of the estimated network structure of 13 adult male dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 (n = 611) including (b) sexual recidivism and (d) violent (including sexual contact) recidivism. Strength centrality is shown as standardized z scores. The nodes are defined as follows: Significant social influences: A1 = significant social influences; intimacy deficits: B1 = capacity for relationship stability, B2 = emotional identification with children, B3 = hostility toward women, B4 = general social rejection/ loneliness, B5 = lack of concern for others; general self-regulation: C1 = impulsive acts, C2 = poor
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