4 98 CHAPTER 4 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −2.0 −0.7 0.5 1.8 E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −2.0 −0.7 0.5 1.8 E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007−DSP −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007−BC −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 E1 C1 C2 B2 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 E1 C1 C2 B2 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007−DSP −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 Network dynamic risk factors sex offenders and violent recidivism measured by the STABLE−2007−BC −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 E1 C1 C2 B2 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 E1 C1 C2 B2 vir Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Violent recidivism vir: Violent recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −1.8 −0.3 1.2 2.7 vir E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −2.5 −0.8 0.9 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A1 B3 B4 B5 D1 D2 E1 C1 C2 C3 B1 B2 D3 sxr Significant social influenes A1: Significant social influences Intimacy deficits B1: Capacity for relationship stability B2: Emotional Identification with children B3: Hostility toward women B4: General social rejection/loneliness B5: Lack of concern for others General self−regulation C1: Impulsive acts C2: Poor cognitive problem solving C3: Negative emotionality/hostility Sexual self−regulation D1: Sexual preoccupation D2: Sex as coping D3: Deviant sexual interests Cooperation with supervision E1: Cooperation with supervision Sexual recidivism sxr: Sexual recidivism Cutoff: 0.08 Maximum: 1 −2.5 −0.8 0.9 2.6 sxr E1 D3 D2 D1 C3 C2 C1 B5 B4 B3 B2 B1 A1 A B C D Figure 4.3. Networks of dynamic risk factors and violent (including contact sexual) recidivism of adult men who have sexually offended Note. (a, c) Estimated network structure from of 13 dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 including violent (including contact sexual) recidivism (1a, upper left, DSP sample, n = 788; 1c, lower left, BC sample, n = 3,863). The network structures are mgm networks, in which a connection between nodes represents the strength of the statistical association that remains after statistically controlling for the other nodes. (b, d) Strength centrality of the estimated network structure of 13 adult male dynamic risk factors as measured by the STABLE-2007 including violent (including contact sexual) recidivism (3b, upper right, DSP sample, n = 788; 1 d, lower right, BC sample, n = 3,863). Strength centrality is shown as standardized z scores. DSP = dynamic supervision project; BC = British Columbia; mgm = mixed graphical models. See the online article for the color version of this figure. Figure and legend adapted with permission from “ Dynamic Risk Factors in Adult Men Who Committed Sexual Offenses: Replication and Comparison of Networks Found in Two Independent Samples,” by J. W. van den Berg et al., 2022, Psychology of Violence, 12(6), p. 424–437. Copyright © 2022 American Psychological Association.
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